Timor-Leste
Timor-Leste performs in the mid-range across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy framework. It is among the world’s top 25 per cent of countries in Elected Government, Freedom of Expression, Personal Integrity and Security and Electoral Participation and among the bottom 25 per cent of countries in Basic Welfare. Over the last five years, it has experienced advances in Economic Equality. The country is home to a low middle-income economy and depends on oil for approximately 90 per cent of its revenues. It has one of the lowest urbanization rates in the world and remains among the world’s Least Developed Countries.
Portugal colonized Timor Lese from the end of the 18th century through 1975, and Indonesia invaded one week after the end of the former’s rule. Indonesian rule was marked by the brutal repression of pro-independence rebels. In 1999, as the reformasi process in Indonesia progressed, a referendum resulted in an overwhelming vote for independence. This vote was met with violence from pro-Indonesia militias, which prompted an Australia-led military intervention under UN auspices to restore peace. From 1999 until 2002, Timor-Leste was under UN administration, pending the approval of the Constitution and the official declaration of independence on 20 May 2002.
Since the declaration of independence, political institutions have been dominated by figures linked to the independence struggle. The country has successfully organized elections and built a democratic governance structure, but disagreements about how to run the country and who gets access to the associated power drive tensions between the main two parties, FRETILIN (Frente Revolucionária de Timor-Leste Independente) and CNRT (Congresso Nacional de Reconstrução de Timor). Political deadlock, especially related to the transformation of dwindling oil dividends into development and the still-pending economic transformation of the country, remain problematic. A context in which interpersonal relationships sometimes supersede party loyalty, along with a focus on consensus and consultation, mean that decision-making can be slow. With a poverty rate of above 40 per cent, unemployment and cost of living are what citizens find most pressing.
Timor-Leste is ethnically diverse and home to multiple Indigenous groups and small Chinese and Portuguese minorities. The majority practice Catholicism, but there are Muslim, Protestant and Animist minorities. The country’s small ethnic minorities are generally considered well-integrated into politics and society. Poverty is concentrated in rural areas and is often linked with geographic location rather than ethnicity alone. Timor Leste has 16 Indigenous languages, with Portuguese and Tetum as official languages, and English and Bahasa Indonesian recognized as working languages. Language remains a divisive issue in the country, reflecting broader issues of national identity.
Timor Leste performs slightly above the regional average in Gender Equality, with a 2006 gender quota resulting in high levels of female political representation. However, challenges persist, including high rates of gender-based violence and cultural norms that limit women’s economic and local political participation. While positive steps have been taken to establish transnational justice processes, challenges remain in providing reparations to victims, especially women, who suffered abuses under Indonesia's occupation. Key issues include prosecuting past perpetrators, ensuring accountability and addressing resource constraints in the justice system.
Looking ahead, it will be important to watch how the government develops plans to sustainably advance the economy as well as whether independence-era political figures, such as newly elected Prime Minister Xanana Gusmão, will open the way for new generations of politicians.
Last updated: June 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
May 2023
Parliamentary election yields opposition wins
Timor-Leste’s parliamentary election was held on 21 May, with opposition party (The National Congress for Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT)) winning most seats. The election was marked by high voter turnout at 79.28 per cent, although slightly lower than 80.98 per cent in 2018. Official estimates on women’s political representation have not yet been publicized. Election observers noted that the Timorese authorities delivered a transparent and well-organized election. CNRT gained 31 seats out of 65, falling short of the 33 needed for an outright majority. The results pave the way for CNRT, led by Xanana Gusmão, to form a new coalition government.
Sources: ANFREL, Reuters, IPU Parline, Associated Press
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Global ranking per category of democratic performance in 2023
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