
Iran

The Islamic Republic of Iran performs in the low range across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy framework. It ranks among the bottom 25 per cent of countries globally in most factors of democratic performance. Compared to five years prior, its performance has remained stable, although with declines in Elected Government. Economically, Iran is an upper-middle income country and a major oil and natural gas producer, with key hydrocarbon and agriculture sectors, as well as services. Its economy has stagnated due to Western sanctions and oil price volatility.
Iran was never formally colonized but experienced foreign influence from Britain and Russia in the 19th and 20th centuries. The 1906 Constitutional Revolution introduced parliamentary rule and limited royal powers, but a 1953 coup reversed those gains. The coup was backed by the U.S. and U.K., partly due to the regime’s plans to nationalize the oil industry, and it reinstated authoritarian rule under the Shah. Growing opposition to the Shah’s rule culminated in the 1979 Revolution, which replaced the monarchy with an Islamic Republic. Since then, Iran’s political culture has been shaped by ardent debates between tradition-oriented, conservative hardliners and modernist reformers, reflecting divisions over religion, democracy, freedoms, rights, and the country’s role on the global stage.
Iran’s political and social landscape is marked by deepening divisions between a ruling elite committed to preserving the Islamic Republic's ideological foundations and a diverse, modern population increasingly demanding reform. The legal system is based on a monolithic interpretation of Islamic law, centered on the principle of wilayat al-faqih (Guardianship of the Jurist), which vests ultimate authority in the Supreme Leader —a senior cleric who holds the highest political and religious power and to whom all branches of government, including the executive headed by the President, are ultimately subordinate. In 2024, Masoud Pezeshkian became the country’s first reformist President in nearly two decades, yet his plans remain constrained by this system and resistance from conservative power centers.
As a Shia Muslim regional power, Iran is engaged in strategic rivalry with Sunni Muslim leader Saudi Arabia, historically leveraging the Sunni-Shia divide to advance their interests and fuel sectarian violence across the region. Its anti-West stance also shapes domestic discourse, often framing foreign influence concerns in ways that justify repression and curb civil liberties. The urban middle class generally favors liberalization, while less densely populated rural regions tend to be more conservative.
Strict social controls include mandatory hijab laws for women and severe punishments for LGBTQIA+ individuals, including the death penalty. Widespread human rights violations, including internet censorship, torture, and execution, have inspired recurring protests demanding greater freedoms. Religious minorities, particularly the Baha’is, and ethnic minorities (making up roughly 40 per cent of the population) also face repression. Economic challenges—including corruption, state domination of the economy, and high unemployment— fuel ongoing popular discontent and instability.
Looking ahead, Rights and Rule of law will be important areas to watch, particularly in relation to how Iran manages future protests amid a mitigated, though ongoing, legitimacy crisis. Political stability remains uncertain, with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s advanced age raising questions about leadership transition. At the same time, evolving public frustration is reshaping demands for reform, making Representation and Participation key areas to monitor as well.
Last Updated: June 2025
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April 2025
Missing workers and media crackdown reported after deadly port blast
On 26 April, an explosion took place at the Shahid Rajaei port, the country’s largest commercial port, killing at least 70 people and injuring over 1,000 others. Reports suggest that many unregistered migrant workers from economically marginalized provinces were likely among the victims. These individuals, whose work often goes unrecorded in official employment systems, are especially difficult to identify and reach during recovery efforts. Several workers remain missing. Officials blamed the explosion on negligence, including mislabelling of cargo and unsafe storage of combustible material. Following the incident, journalists reported increased restrictions on coverage, while the Tehran prosecutor’s office filed charges against several media outlets and social media users for allegedly sharing ‘unauthorized information’ about the blast.
Sources: Associated Press, Business and Human Rights Resource Center, Iran International, The Guardian
July 2024
Reformist Masoud Pezeshkian wins snap presidential election
On 5 July, presidential candidate Masoud Pezeshkian, representing the reformist political faction, won the second round of the Iranian presidential election with 53.7 percent of the vote. He defeated his hardline opponent, Saeed Jalili. Voter turnout reached 49.8 percent, higher than the record low 39.93 percent registered in the first round. This snap election was called following the sudden death of former President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on 19 May. Initially, 80 candidates, including four women, registered for candidacy. However, Iran’s Guardian Council, responsible for overseeing the elections and vetting candidacies, approved only six male candidates. Two candidates withdrew prior to the first round, leaving four contenders in the race. Since no candidate secured the required 50 per cent of the vote in the first round, a runoff was held between the top two candidates, Pezeshkian and Jalili. Pezeshkian's swearing-in ceremony took place on 30 July.
Sources: BBC, Al Jazeera, IRNA, Mehr News Agency, Al Arabiya
April 2024
Women and girls assaulted in new hijab enforcement campaign
Women and girls in Iran have been subjected to a violent crackdown by the country’s police as part of a new hijab enforcement campaign announced by authorities on 13 April. The UN and media outlets reported that women and girls across the country were being harassed and detained, with some alleging that they had been beaten and sexually assaulted. Surveillance cameras were reportedly being used to identify individuals not complying with the mandatory hijab laws and hundreds of businesses were forced to close for not enforcing the laws. On 21 April, the Tehran head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced the creation of a new hijab law enforcement body, which would, he said, police the dress codes ‘in a more serious manner’ in public spaces. Commentators have indicated that the campaign is the most serious attempt by the state to impose its authority on this issue since the Mahsa Amini protests of 2022 and 2023.
Sources: United Nations, Iran International, The Guardian, The Washington Post, International IDEA
March 2024
Hardliners dominate Iran’s elections
On 1 March, Iran held parliamentary elections for all 290 seats of its Islamic Consultative Assembly, although contests for 45 of these seats will go to a second round in April or May, due to the fact that the winning candidates had failed to secure 20 per cent of the vote. The first round was dominated by members of the conservative, hardliner political faction, who clinched 200 seats, with many candidates from the reformist faction prevented from running. Despite there having been 1,713 female candidates, only 11 were elected in the first round. Voters also selected candidates for 88 seats of Iran’s Assembly of Experts, a deliberative body tasked with appointing the country’s Supreme Leader, and hardliners dominated this poll, too. Voter turnout was 40.64 per cent, the lowest since the foundation of the Islamic Republic in 1979.
Sources: The Iran Primer, Al Jazeera, Stimson Center, Wilson Center, Voice of America, Newsweek, International IDEA
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