Tanzania
Tanzania exhibits mid-range performance across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy Framework. It is among the top 25 per cent of countries in Absence of Corruption but is among the bottom 25 per cent with regard to Civic Engagement. Over the last five years, it has experienced significant advances in Freedom of Association, Civil Liberties, Freedom of Expression, and Personal Integrity and Security. At the same time, Tanzania has experienced significant declines in Civic Engagement, Elected Government and Economic Equality. Tanzania has maintained one of Africa’s highest economic growth rates, driven by its strategic location as a key East African seaport hub, abundant natural resources and political stability. Despite this, the economy remains largely agrarian, with industry and services also playing important roles.
Tanzania’s coastal regions experienced waves of in-migration and trade with ancient civilizations—including Greece, Rome, Phoenicia, Arabia, Persia, and India—dating back as early as the 5th century BCE. In the late 19th century, the area was colonized, first by Germany and later by the United Kingdom. Tanzania gained independence in 1961. Its first president, Julius Nyerere, led the country from 1964 to 1985. Present-day Tanzania was formed in 1964 through a union between mainland Tanganyika and the islands of Zanzibar, which remains semi-autonomous with its own elected president. Unlike many African countries, ethnicity does not constitute a major cleavage in Tanzania—reflecting the success of Nyerere’s nation-building efforts, the unifying role of the Swahili language, and the country’s high ethnic diversity, which has disincentivized ethnic-based resource competition.
Although Tanzania has retreated from Nyerere’s socialist policies, his influence endures in the considerablepowers still vested in the presidency. The governing Chama cha Mapinduzi party has long dominated politics, and the country took an authoritarian turn under former president John Magufuli, who banned political rallies, arrested opposition leaders, and enacted new media restrictions. This has contributed to a strong publicappetite for democratic reform. After Magufuli’s death in 2021, his vice president, Samia Suluhu Hassan, assumed office and initially signaled a reformist agenda. However, recent developments point to renewed authoritarianism: opposition leaders have been arbitrary arrested and prosecuted, media outlets suspended, and reports of abductions and politically motivated violence have intensified, raising concerns about the state’s commitment to democratic governance.
Tanzania also faces challenges related to social identity. The LGBTQIA+ community is subject to intimidation and prosecution under colonial era-sodomy law. The country has the world’s largest population of people with albinism, who continue to face violent harassment and exclusion. Gender-based violence remains widespread, with 44 per cent of women aged 15 to 49 reporting physical abuse. Furthermore, the pastoralist Maasai community has suffered severe human rights abuses amid repeated and intensified forced evictions.
Looking ahead, key areas to monitor in the period surrounding the 2025 general elections include Free Political Parties, Freedom of the Press, Personal Integrity and Security, and Social Group Equality. The narrowing of civic space, including arrests and disqualifications of opposition figures, increasing media restrictions, and reports of politically motivated violence, raises concerns about the broader democratic environment. Continued forced evictions and human rights abuses against the Maasai community will also test the state’s commitment to equality and constitutional protections.
Last updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
October 2025
President Samia Suluhu Hassan wins second term in tanza’s Presidential election
On 29 October, President Samia Suluhu Hassan was declared the winner of the country’s presidential election with 97.7 per cent of the vote; she was one of three women candidates among the 17 on the ballot. According to the Independent National Electoral Commission, voter turnout reached nearly 87.0 per cent, up from the disputed 2020 figure of 50 per cent. The main opposition parties, Chadema (Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo) and ACT-Wazalendo, were excluded from the race earlier this year, leaving Hassan to contest against smaller parties. The election proceeded amid a nationwide internet shutdown and heightened security presence. Regional observers, including the Southern African Development Community (SADC), raised concerns over incidents of violence, restrictions on media, the exclusion of key opposition candidates, and limited electoral competitiveness. Tanzanian officials, however, described the vote as peaceful and orderly.
Sources: Independent National Electoral Commission – Tanzania, Southern African Development Community Electoral Observation Mission, Institute for Security Studies – Africa, Africa Confidential, The New York Times, Reuters
Widespread unrest follows Tanzania’s general election
Widespread protests broke out across Tanzania following the 29 October general elections, with demonstrators clashing with security forces in cities including Dar es Salaam, Arusha and Mbeya. Police reportedly used tear gas and live ammunition, and protesters set fire to polling stations and government buildings. The government imposed a nationwide internet blackout and curfew, restricting access to information. The United Nations confirmed at least ten deaths, while the main opposition party, Chadema (Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo), claimed over 700 people were killed, and some activists allege the toll could be higher—though these figures remain unverified. Rights groups, including Human Rights Watch, condemned the excessive use of force and called for independent investigations. The protests, described by country experts as unprecedented in scale, reflect rising public anger over repression and the perceived lack of credible political alternatives.
Sources: Africa Confidential, The Africa Report, The Conversation, Human Rights Watch, British Broadcasting Corporation, International Crisis Group
August 2025
Opposition presidential candidate barred ahead of October vote
On 27 August, Tanzania’s electoral commission (Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC) barred Luhaga Mpina, presidential nominee of ACT-Wazalendo—the country’s second-largest opposition party—from contesting the 29 October election, citing alleged irregularities in his party’s internal nomination procedure. INEC confirmed 17 presidential candidates, including President Samia Suluhu Hassan, but excluded Mpina. In April, INEC also disqualified Chadema (Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo), the leading opposition party. ACT-Wazalendo has launched a legal challenge, arguing Mpina had completed all procedures lawfully. His disqualification follows his defection from the ruling CCM and highlights growing concerns over the independence of Tanzania’s electoral institutions ahead of a vote now lacking major opposition contenders.
Update: On 11 September, the High Court overturned the electoral commission’s disqualification of Luhaga Mpina, but INEC barred him again four days later, following a complaint by the Attorney General alleging that Mpina had not been properly endorsed by ACT-Wazalendo. Mpina and ACT-Wazalendo have launched a second legal challenge, with hearings due in early October. Mpina’s definitive exclusion would all but ensure a landslide victory for the ruling CCM in the October election, according to political analysts.
Sources: Independent National Electoral Commission (1), Independent National Electoral Commission (2), The Citizen, Reuters, International Crisis Group (1), International IDEA, International Crisis Group (2)
June 2025
Government confirms X shutdown, citing breach of online content laws
On 4 June, Tanzania’s Information Minister Jerry Silaa confirmed that access to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) had been restricted for its failure to comply with national online content laws, particularly around explicit material. This marks the first official confirmation of the measure, following user reports from 20 May about difficulties accessing the platform. Network data from the Open Observatory of Network Interference (OONI) confirmed that the platform was partially blocked using DNS and TLS interference, with disruptions varying across internet provider; VPN access remained possible. The restriction followed cyberattacks on government accounts and comes months ahead of the October general election. Rights groups warned that the restrictions signal a shrinking online space and may hinder freedom of expression.
Sources: The Citizen, British Broadcasting Corporation, The Associated Press, Business Insider Africa, Business & Human Rights Resource Centre
April 2025
Opposition leader charged with treason, party banned from polls
In April, authorities escalated a crackdown on the main opposition party Chadema (Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo) ahead of the October general elections. On 9 April, police arrested party chair Tundu Lissu after a rally, using tear gas and reportedly live ammunition to disperse supporters. Lissu was charged the next day with treason and publishing false information, accused of intending to incite public obstruction of the elections due to his calls for an electoral boycott. The charge stems from Chadema’s ‘No Reforms, No Election’ campaign and could carry the death penalty. People charged with this offense are not eligible for bail. On 24 April, police blocked access to Lissu’s hearing, arresting at least five senior Chadema members who were later released amid reports of torture. Meanwhile, on 12 April, the electoral commission disqualified Chadema from the upcoming elections, citing its failure to sign the electoral code of conduct. Chadema rejected the decision as unconstitutional and vowed to appeal.
Sources: The Citizen, Africa Confidential, Human Rights Watch, International Crisis Group, British Broadcast Corporation, Associated Press
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