
Ecuador

Ecuador exhibits mid-range performance across all categories of democracy. It performs in the top 25 per cent of countries globally regarding Freedom of Religion and Electoral Participation. Over the past five years, it has experienced a significant advance in Credible Elections and declines in Social Group Equality, Economic Equality and Personal Integrity and Security. Ecuador is an upper middle income country, with an economy highly dependent on petroleum and thus vulnerable to international economic crashes, but also reliant on the services sector, and a major exporter of agricultural goods such as bananas and sugarcane. In 2000, the country adopted the US dollar as its national currency.
Politics in Ecuador have been characterized by periods of instability and military rule. The armed forces have long played a political role, either ruling the country directly or supporting dictatorships throughout the 1960s and 1970s. High party fragmentation and volatility in voter allegiance have also brought about political instability, in a landscape mainly dominated by a divide between left-leaning and conservative ideologies. This has enabled the rise of outsider leaders, but also led to a fraught relationship between branches of government. Between 1996 and 2023, most democratically elected presidents did not complete their terms, and the most recent special elections (congressional and presidential) were held after the former president made use of a constitutional mechanism to dissolve Congress, but also ended his presidency.
Corruption and a severe rise in gang violence have revealed the weakness of institutions such as the police. Factors, such as the increased influence and presence of international criminal organizations in Ecuador and the neglect of the prison system that enabled imprisoned gang members to self-govern and operate from within penitentiaries, have contributed to Ecuador becoming one of the world’s most violent countries. The latest electoral process was marred by political violence. In January, the new government declared the existence of an “internal armed conflict” with gangs and made use of emergency powers to expand the military’s role in security.
The population of Ecuador is multicultural: over two thirds of the population is Mestizo, and also includes Montubio, Amerindian, White, Afroecuadorian, Mulatto, and Black minorities. "Mestizaje” represents a racial divide in Ecuadorian society; a surface level Mestizo identity belies the exclusion of Afroecuadorians and Indigenous people. Persistent economic and social discrimination and the process of acculturation have led Indigenous persons to adopt a mestizo identity, rather than risk exclusion. The disproportionate impact of poverty and the exploitation of natural resources on Indigenous peoples is a salient issue. In 2023 Ecuadorians voted to end oil drilling in the Yasuní National Park, after a campaign spearheaded by Indigenous peoples and environmental activists.
In 2020, a reform to the Elections and Political Organizations Organic Law strengthened political gender equality through temporary special measures. After the 2023 elections, women’s representation in Congress surpassed 43 per cent. Numerous barriers to women’s development persist, including high rates of intimate partner violence and femicide. Despite a Constitutional Court ruling on the decriminalization of abortion in cases of rape, restrictions to access this service and post-abortion health care continue.
In the coming years, it will be important to watch Ecuador’s performance in Rights and Rule of Law, considering the reports of increasing human rights violations in the context of militarization of public security. The impact of the security crisis on Freedom of Expression and Freedom of the Press is another aspect to follow, given the rise of violence against journalists. The government’s response to popular demand for the Yasuní referendum to be enforced is another aspect to watch regarding Predictable Enforcement.
Last Updated: August 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
February 2025
Ecuador holds general elections
On 9 February, Ecuadorians voted for the President, members of the National Assembly, and members of the Andean Parliament. Incumbent Daniel Noboa and leftist candidate Luisa Gonzalez will head to a runoff on 13 April after a tight presidential race. Noboa obtained 44.2 per cent of votes, while Gonzalez obtained 44.0 per cent. Voter turnout was 82.1 per cent (about the same as in previous elections) and voting is mandatory.
In the National Assembly, the Citizen Revolution Movement and National Democratic Action Movement parties (to which Gonzalez and Noboa, respectively, belong), obtained over 40 per cent of seats. Women lawmakers will comprise about 45.0 per cent of the members of the new Assembly, a slight increase from the current 43.8 per cent, enabled by gender quotas.
Electoral observation missions noted the overall transparent and peaceful conditions of the elections. However, they noted that by not taking a leave of absence to campaign (as ordinarily required by law), President Noboa’s actions contributed to uncertainty, and recommended that the Electoral Tribunal and Constitutional Court clarify that point before the runoff vote.
Sources: Consejo Nacional Electoral, Ecuavisa, EFE, Expreso, El Universo (1), Prensa Latina, El Universo (2), Infobae
December 2024
Constitutional Court issues landmark ruling for victims of modern slavery
On 5 December, the Constitutional Court issued a historic ruling, finding that the Furukawa Plantaciones company, a Japanese enterprise, violated the prohibition of slavery by subjecting hundreds of its workers at abaca plantations to a system known as "servidumbre de la gleba". A contemporary form of slavery, the gleba kept hundreds of workers in inhumane conditions without access to basic services, and tied to the company for decades through facade rent agreements and other mechanisms. The Court declared that the company, operating in the country since the 1960s, took advantage of workers, mostly of African descent, in extremely vulnerable situations. The Court further condemned the Ecuadorean government for failing to prevent and enabling the abuse. The Court ordered Furukawa to pay compensation, and the state to develop policies and legal reforms to end the gleba. The company has contested the court's decision and claimed it cannot afford the ordered reparations without risking closure.
November 2024
Vice-President is suspended for administrative infraction
Vice-President Verónica Abad was suspended from her post for 150 days by the Ministry of Labour for allegedly abandoning her employment without justification, because she was late to comply a presidential decree ordering her to relocate to Ankara from Israel. Constitutional lawyers have criticized the Labour Ministry’s unprecedented decision given that, as an elected vice-president, she could only be dismissed on these grounds if the Constitutional Court and the National Assembly confirmed the abandonment, or in accordance with other constitutional procedures, such as impeachment. Abad had been in Israel after President Daniel Noboa ordered her to act as Ecuador’s envoy for peace in Israel. Abad expressed her belief that the suspension is intended to prevent her from succeeding as president when Noboa runs for re-election in February 2025, as he is required to resign in order to campaign. She has also accused Noboa of political gender-based violence, and pressure.
Update: On 23 December, Judge Nubia Vera granted Abad a protection measure, which terminated the effects of the Ministry of Labour’s decision and ordered reparatory measures. Judge Vera also publicly denounced pressure from the Council of the Judiciary aimed to influence her ruling. By the end of February, Judge Vera’s decision had not been fully implemented, and Abad was still prevented from accessing the Vice-Presidency’s office.
Sources: Primicias (1), El Pais, El Economista, Infobae, Voice of America, Swiss Info, Primicias (2), CNN, El Comercio
August 2024
A year after Yasuní referendum, oil drilling continues
A year after Ecuadorians voted to end oil drilling in the Yasuní national park, the government has not yet ended its operations. A high court decision had given authorities a one-year period to stop oil exploration and comply with the results of the August 2023 referendum. A group of UN experts has called on the government to respect popular will, amid concern over reports that new drilling was taking place, and the impact that extraction activities have on Indigenous peoples’ lands and livelihoods, and the environment. Environmental activists who, along with Indigenous leaders and groups had pushed for the referendum to take place, have asked the Court to hold an urgent hearing on the matter. President Daniel Noboa’s administration has requested an extension from the high court to allow for a gradual shut-down over a five-year period, as the government relies on revenue from oil to address its pressing security situation.
Sources: OHCHR, El Comercio, Voz de America, El Pais, International IDEA
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