Ecuador
Ecuador exhibits mid-range performance across all categories of democracy. It performs in the top 25 per cent of countries globally regarding Freedom of Religion and Electoral Participation. Over the past five years, it has experienced a significant advance in Credible Elections and declines in Social Group Equality, Economic Equality and Personal Integrity and Security. Ecuador is an upper middle income country, with an economy highly dependent on petroleum and thus vulnerable to international economic crashes, but also reliant on the services sector, and a major exporter of agricultural goods such as bananas and sugarcane. In 2000, the country adopted the US dollar as its national currency.
Politics in Ecuador have been characterized by periods of instability and military rule. The armed forces have long played a political role, either ruling the country directly or supporting dictatorships throughout the 1960s and 1970s. High party fragmentation and volatility in voter allegiance have also brought about political instability, in a landscape mainly dominated by a divide between left-leaning and conservative ideologies. This has enabled the rise of outsider leaders, but also led to a fraught relationship between branches of government. Between 1996 and 2023, most democratically elected presidents did not complete their terms, and the most recent special elections (congressional and presidential) were held after the former president made use of a constitutional mechanism to dissolve Congress, but also ended his presidency.
Corruption and a severe rise in gang violence have revealed the weakness of institutions such as the police. Factors, such as the increased influence and presence of international criminal organizations in Ecuador and the neglect of the prison system that enabled imprisoned gang members to self-govern and operate from within penitentiaries, have contributed to Ecuador becoming one of the world’s most violent countries. The latest electoral process was marred by political violence. In January, the new government declared the existence of an “internal armed conflict” with gangs and made use of emergency powers to expand the military’s role in security.
The population of Ecuador is multicultural: over two thirds of the population is Mestizo, and also includes Montubio, Amerindian, White, Afroecuadorian, Mulatto, and Black minorities. "Mestizaje” represents a racial divide in Ecuadorian society; a surface level Mestizo identity belies the exclusion of Afroecuadorians and Indigenous people. Persistent economic and social discrimination and the process of acculturation have led Indigenous persons to adopt a mestizo identity, rather than risk exclusion. The disproportionate impact of poverty and the exploitation of natural resources on Indigenous peoples is a salient issue. In 2023 Ecuadorians voted to end oil drilling in the Yasuní National Park, after a campaign spearheaded by Indigenous peoples and environmental activists.
In 2020, a reform to the Elections and Political Organizations Organic Law strengthened political gender equality through temporary special measures. After the 2023 elections, women’s representation in Congress surpassed 43 per cent. Numerous barriers to women’s development persist, including high rates of intimate partner violence and femicide. Despite a Constitutional Court ruling on the decriminalization of abortion in cases of rape, restrictions to access this service and post-abortion health care continue.
In the coming years, it will be important to watch Ecuador’s performance in Rights and Rule of Law, considering the reports of increasing human rights violations in the context of militarization of public security. The impact of the security crisis on Freedom of Expression and Freedom of the Press is another aspect to follow, given the rise of violence against journalists. The government’s response to popular demand for the Yasuní referendum to be enforced is another aspect to watch regarding Predictable Enforcement.
Last Updated: August 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
August 2024
A year after Yasuní referendum, oil drilling continues
A year after Ecuadorians voted to end oil drilling in the Yasuní national park, the government has not yet ended its operations. A high court decision had given authorities a one-year period to stop oil exploration and comply with the results of the August 2023 referendum. A group of UN experts has called on the government to respect popular will, amid concern over reports that new drilling was taking place, and the impact that extraction activities have on Indigenous peoples’ lands and livelihoods, and the environment. Environmental activists who, along with Indigenous leaders and groups had pushed for the referendum to take place, have asked the Court to hold an urgent hearing on the matter. President Daniel Noboa’s administration has requested an extension from the high court to allow for a gradual shut-down over a five-year period, as the government relies on revenue from oil to address its pressing security situation.
Sources: OHCHR, El Comercio, Voz de America, El Pais, International IDEA
June 2024
Prison population faces food insecurity
Starting 1 June, the government ceased to have a provider of food services for Ecuador’s prison population. Reports of food insecurity faced by persons deprived of their liberty had already highlighted the sudden suspension of meals in some penitentiaries, which are currently under control of the military. However, conditions detiorated when the government and the private contractor providing food services terminated their working relationship. Families have organized donations of food, but they claim it is insufficient, as reports that some people are only given one meal a day have emerged. Prison officials claim that the service provider had links to organized crime and have stated they are hurriedly working on hiring a new provider, but in the meantime claim that all meals are guaranteed through donations from businesses. Families of imprisoned men have staged protests to demand a better treatment of their relatives, denouncing other reports of mistreatment.
May 2024
Emergency measures are scrutinized by Court and human rights organizations
The government’s extension of a state of exception in five provinces due to an ‘armed conflict’ was declared unconstitutional by the Constitutional Court on 10 May. An insufficient justification of the existence of an internal armed conflict, lack of territorial demarcation and temporality were among the reasons given by the Court. On 22 May the government decreed a state of exception again in seven provinces, including the five covered by the ruling, but was struck down by the Court on 14 June.
Human rights advocates have criticized the term ‘internal armed conflict’ to characterize gang violence, saying that the legal requirements are not met (such as the degree of organization and intensity of hostilities). They have reported an increase in human rights violations, including in the penitentiary system. The allegations triggered an investigation by the country’s Ombudsperson that found at least 24 deaths of inmates between February and March, some of whom appeared to be victims of violent deaths and torture. Reports of the suspension of meals have furthered the concerns of family members and human rights defenders.
Sources: Prensa Latina, CNN, Vistazo (1), Vistazo (2), Telesur TV
April 2024
Ecuador holds constitutional referendum and plebiscite focused on security
On 21 April, through a single ballot, citizens participated in both a binding referendum on constitutional amendments and a consultative plebiscite on other questions. Citizens voted ‘Yes’ to referendum questions related to amending the constitution to permit armed forces to support the national police (by 72 per cent), the extradition of Ecuadorean nationals subject to certain conditions (by around 65 per cent), and the establishment of judiciaries specialized in constitutional issues (by 60.5 per cent). Conversely, they rejected the use of international arbitration in investment disputes, as well as a proposal to reform the constitution and Labour Code to include hourly and fixed-term work contracts.
Regarding the plebiscite questions, a majority of voters agreed to the armed forces carrying out checks in detention centres, increasing prison terms for certain crimes, among other security-related issues.
These plebiscite questions will move on to the National Assembly for consideration. Despite mandatory voting, 28 per cent of eligible voters abstained.
Sources: El Pais, The New York Times, CNN
Police carry out raid in Mexican Embassy in Quito
Ecuador’s national police carried out a raid on the Mexican embassy in Quito on 5 April, escalating an ongoing diplomatic dispute. Ecuador’s military and police agents breached the diplomatic mission to detain Jorge Glas, a former vice president who had taken refuge in the embassy since December, after being convicted of corruption-related crimes. Mexico ended diplomatic relations with Ecuador and, along with other countries, has protested a transgression of the inviolability of its diplomatic mission, in contravention of the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Ecuador argues that Mexico’s attempts to grant political asylum to a person convicted of ordinary and not political crimes was a breach of international law. Mexico has filed an application against Ecuador before the International Court of Justice, which heard arguments on its request for provisional measures in late April and early May.
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