Iraq
Iraq exhibits low-range performance in two categories of the Global State of Democracy framework: Rights and Rule of Law, and it performs in the mid-range in Representation and Participation. It is among the bottom 25 per cent of countries for almost half of the factors in the framework. The Iraqi economy is highly reliant on oil revenues, which account for 42 per cent of its GDP and 85 per cent of the government’s budget. Socio-economic development has been hampered by a precarious state budget that is vulnerable to volatile global oil prices.
Iraq gained independence as a kingdom in 1932, following twelve years under British colonial rule. In 1958, it transitioned to a republic, and after a series of coups, the Ba'ath Party seized power in 1968. Saddam Hussein, the last leader from the Ba'ath Party, governed Iraq from 1979 until 2003. During the Ba'ath period, Iraq was characterized by a state-controlled economy and sectarian tensions. Iraq is a multi-ethnic country, and the former regime’s centralization of power among Sunnis led to the marginalization of Shiites and Kurds, who faced severe repression. The 2003 US-led invasion dismantled the Ba'athist regime, removing the Sunni-dominated power structure and leading to the emergence to power of previously suppressed Shia groups.
Competitive elections have taken place in Iraq since 2005. Despite the promulgation of a new constitution and governance mechanisms, including a form of federalism mostly applied to the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, a polarized and unstable political system and fragile democratic institutions remain. Iraq’s political system today is based on an informal consociational political system, known as ‘Muhasasa Ta’ifia’. While this quota-based power-sharing agreement was designed to ensure ethno-religious representation and accommodate various groups and political identities, it has in practice led to patronage, enabling the division of public resources among Shia-led ruling elites and their networks. Demands for reform during the 2019 October protests highlighted discontent with Iraq’s political system, but there has been little room for the emergence of alternative forms of democratic governance and political identification outside this framework.
Iraq is among the world’s bottom 25 per cent with regard to performance on Gender Equality. While the number of women parliamentarians has never been higher, women and adolescent girls are at serious risk of gender-based violence. Women’s increased political activism has also provoked patriarchal violence as well as more liberation for women. LGBTQIA+ rights continue to be threatened, including through increasingly repressive bills.
The fragility of the economy is aggravated by rampant politically sanctioned corruption that prevents public sector reform or service delivery, contributing to widespread poverty and economic stagnation. Limited progress in these areas has fueled discontent and distrust towards the ruling elites and the state. Ethno-sectarian dynamics and weak institutions have contributed to the fragmentation of Iraq’s security sector. High levels of violence continue to undermine citizens’ safety, negatively impacting the situation of minorities in Iraq.
Given the context, Iraq’s democratic achievements have been limited to holding elections, although with low rates of confidence in electoral integrity. Looking ahead, governance problems and poverty threaten the sustainability of the state. Popular discontent remains high, and the government’s violent response to citizen dissatisfaction highlights the fragility of its democratic transition. Civil liberties are violated daily and the general human rights situation remains a matter of concern to the international community.
Last Updated: June 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
October 2024
Election of new parliamentary speaker ends year-long deadlock
On 31 October, Iraq's Parliament elected Mahmoud al-Mashhadani as its new speaker, ending nearly a year of political deadlock. The position had been vacant since November 2023, when the Federal Supreme Court removed former speaker Mohammed al-Halbousi over forgery allegations. The Speaker of the Iraqi Parliament plays a key role in facilitating the effective functioning of the legislative process, managing debates and ensuring the timely passage of laws. The election of Al-Mashhadani follows months of negotiations, marking a rare moment of consensus in Iraq's divided parliament, where Sunni factions had struggled to agree on a replacement for the position, which is reserved for a Sunni Muslim.
Sources: Associated Press, The New Arab, Al Arabiya, International IDEA
August 2024
Parliament debates controversial Personal Status Law amendments
On 4 August, Iraq’s parliament debated significant amendments to the Personal Status Law (PSL). The proposed changes would introduce an option for citizens to choose between the current secular PSL and a sect-specific religious law upon marriage. The changes have been controversial, with critics arguing that they could undermine gender equality by empowering religious authorities over civil courts. Concerns include potential legalization of child marriages and reduced divorce rights for women, as religious rulings might prevail over secular legal standards. This is the third attempt since 2014 to reform family law. The bill is supported by the Shia Coordination Framework, an alliance of Shiite parties opposing the Sadrist movement, which seeks to appeal to conservative voters ahead of the 2025 parliamentary elections. Observers caution that the bill may gain traction due to potential political maneuvering, as Sunni MPs might support it in exchange for backing on a controversial amendment to the amnesty law also undergoing parliamentary discussion.
Sources: Wilson Center, Shafaq, Brookings, The New Arab
April 2024
Iraq’s legislature passes repressive anti-LGBTQIA+ law
On 27 April, Iraq’s unicameral legislature, the House of Representatives, passed a law that severely restricts the rights of LGBTQIA+ people in the country. In wording that has been criticised for being vague and overly broad, The Law on Combating Prostitution and Homosexuality criminalises homosexuality for the first time in Iraq, prescribing a 10-to-15-year prison sentence for a person who engages in homosexual sex. It bans the promotion of homosexuality, prohibiting the activities of NGOs advocating for LGBTQIA+ rights. It also targets transgender people, criminalising those who undergo gender change procedures based on ‘desire and inclination’, as well as those who conduct such procedures. While homosexuality was not previously outlawed in Iraq, the LGBTQIA+ community has been prosecuted under morality laws and is subject to frequent violence and discrimination. Under the constitution, the Law will be considered ratified 15 days after it has been sent to the president by the legislature.
Sources: Shafaq News, British Broadcasting Corporation, The Guardian, Library of Congress, Constitution of Iraq
December 2023
Iraq holds first local elections in a decade
On 18 December, Iraq conducted its first set of provincial elections since 2013. The Independent High Electoral Commission announced the preliminary results, with a turnout of 41 per cent despite a boycott by influential cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. The ruling Shia Coordination Framework emerged as a major victor, securing 101 out of the 285 available seats. In terms of regional participation, Kirkuk had the highest participation at 66 per cent, where Kurdish candidates won the majority seats. In Baghdad, the coalition led by former Parliament Speaker Mohammed al-Halbousi secured the most votes, followed by a coalition of Iran-backed Shiite parties. Despite minor incidents including the detonation of a stun grenade at a polling station in Najaf and a helicopter crash near Kirkuk (causing one fatality and one injury), the elections were largely peaceful. Women constituted 28 per cent of the candidates and secured 75 seats in the provincial council elections.
Sources: Rudaw, The New Arab, Al Jazeera, Independent High Electoral Commission, Associated Press, French Research Center on Iraq
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