
Kosovo

Kosovo performs in the mid-range across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy (GSoD) framework. It falls among the top 25 per cent of countries in the world in Local Democracy. Between 2018-2023, Kosovo has made significant progress in Economic Equality, marked by greater inclusion and political power of various socio-economic groups. Kosovo has a service and consumption-based economy, and since declaring independence in 2008, it has seen steady economic progress, with nearly a 50 per cent increase in per-capita income and a 35 per cent drop in poverty.
The February 2008 declaration of independence followed the 1998-1999 Kosovo conflict between ethnic Albanians and ethnic Serbs, marked by NATO’s armed intervention to stop Serbian forces’ atrocities and ethnic cleansing. Although the International Court of Justice (ICJ) ruled Kosovo’s independence legal and a majority of UN member states recognize Kosovo, many countries, including Serbia, do not. As a post-conflict society, the ethnic division between Kosovo Albanians (92.9 per cent) and Kosovo Serbs (around 5 per cent), represents one of the most important political fault lines in Kosovo. The Belgrade-backed parallel/illegal structures in Serb municipalities in Kosovo, and unresolved issues such as war crimes, missing persons and technical matters, have often led to violence and ethnic tensions. The genuine integration of the Kosovo Serbs, most of whom do not recognize independence, boycott authorities and are influenced by Serbia, is a major challenge. Apart from Serbs, other minorities include Roma, Ashkali, Egyptians, Bosniaks, Turks, and Gorani. 20 out of 120 parliamentary seats are guaranteed for minorities (10 specifically allotted for ethnic Serbs). Still, minority groups’ exclusion continues to be a problem, particularly among the Roma.
For many years, the peaceful approach and that of the armed insurgency in the conflict with Serbia was the main line of division in society. Political parties representing these approaches dominated for over 20 years, and were associated with high levels of corruption. In 2021, they were relegated to "old guard" status after an unprecedented shift in power, which saw a new political elite win over 50 per cent of the vote, and rise to power on a platform to tackle corruption, nepotism, and state capture. Trust in politicians increased and has been the highest in Western Balkan in 2024. Differing approaches to the EU-facilitated dialogue with Serbia, the rule of law in Serb-dominated municipalities, and membership in international organizations, including the EU, have often caused disagreements between the government, opposition, and international community. Given the support for the EU is among the highest in the region, these issues impact public approval.
Amid a demographic decline, one of Europe’s highest unemployment rates—particularly among youth—and persistent concerns about the cost of living, there are fears that visa liberalization will accelerate emigration and brain drain. Additionally, the criticized 2024 Independent Media Commission Law, concerns over public broadcaster's independence, attacks on journalists, and the rise of “digital vigilantism” and online smear campaigns— have sparked worries about media control, press intimidation, and suppression of free speech.
Kosovo has seen increased female political participation and gender equality in areas like sports. The country had two female presidents and women currently hold 40 out of 120 parliamentary seats, surpassing the 30 per cent quota. Advances include combating social stigma and implementing a reparations system for an estimated 20,000 wartime rape survivors. However, challenges remain, including domestic violence and femicides, disparities in employment and economy, gender-based cybercrimes, and discrimination in property inheritance. While recent legislation aims to address these issues, enforcement and punishment remain inadequate. The right to change name and sex marker in documents is recognized, and the government is trying to legalize same-sex civil unions.
Looking ahead, it is crucial to monitor Rule of Law, focusing on Personal Integrity and Security, and Absence of Corruption, especially in Serb-majority areas and in response to citizens' anti-corruption demands. Social Group Equality and Freedom of the Press should be observed to ensure minority and LGBTQIA+ rights and media independence are upheld. Access to Justice and Gender Equality should be closely monitored due to concerns about gender-based violence and femicide. Basic Welfare and Economic Equality should be observed given concerns about the cost of living, unemployment, and emigration.
Last updated: July 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
February 2025
Prime Minister Albin Kurti's incumbent party wins parliamentary elections
In the parliamentary elections of 9 February, incumbent Prime Minister Albin Kurti and his Vetevendosje party (VV) came first with 42.3 per cent of the vote, winning 48 out of Parliament’s 120 seats. The Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) received 20.9 per cent (24 seats) and the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) 18.3 per cent (20 seats). For the first time, the Serbian List lost one of the 10 parliamentary seats reserved for the Serbian minority. The seat was won by the For Freedom, Justice, and Survival party, which is known for its more cooperative stance toward Kosovo’s institutions. Women secured 44 seats, exceeding the 30 per cent quota, the same as in 2021. In a preliminary statement, the EU Election Observation Mission stated that the election process was peaceful and vibrant despite deep divisions in the country, which were reflected in verbal attacks by some of the candidates. Voter turnout was 46.5 per cent, down from 48.8 per cent in 2021.
Sources: Komisioni Qendror i Zgjedhjeve, European Union External Action (1), European Union External Action (2), Politico, International IDEA
September 2023
Police officer killed as Serb gunmen storm Kosovo
Serb gunmen dressed in military uniforms stormed Banjska, a Serb-dominated village, and barricaded in its monastery after having battled the Kosovo Police and killed one of its officers. Authorities reported that a minimum of five out of at least 30 attackers were killed. The European Commission labelled this a terrorist attack. No civilians were injured. The police discovered a significant cache of heavy weaponry, ammunition, and equipment. ID documents of Serbs were found, including the gun permit of Milan Radoičić, Vice President of Lista Srpska, a Kosovo Serb party supported by Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vučić. Radoičić confirmed his participation in the attack. Kosovo's leaders attributed the attack to Serbia, while Serbia’s President denied any involvement, asserting it emanated from local Kosovo Serbs who no longer wished to endure what he referred to as "Kurti's terror." After the attack, the US reported a significant Serbian military presence along the Kosovo border, and the Serbian President announced orders for their withdrawal. This unprecedented attack follows months of increased tensions between Kosovo and Serbia.
Sources: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Prishtina Insight, Reuters, Euractiv, EU External Action, Politico (1), Politico (2), The Guardian
July 2023
Ex-intelligence chief sentenced over deportations
The former head of the Kosovo Intelligence Agency (KIA), Driton Gashi, has been sentenced by the Pristina Basic Court to almost five years in prison after being found guilty of abuse of office. In 2018 he was involved in illegally deporting six Turkish nationals living in Kosovo to Türkiye, after the Turkish government accused them of being followers of Fethullah Gülen, who the Turkish authorities accuse of sponsoring terrorism. This is part of a larger transnational repression campaign by the Turkish authorities, which, as reported by Freedom House, took place in at least 31 other countries. The six deportees are serving hefty prison sentences in Türkiye with minimal or no contact with their families. A 2019 Kosovo parliamentary commission found that 31 laws and procedures were breached and that former president Hashim Thaçi, now on trial in the Hague for unrelated crimes, ordered the incident. The then Prime Minister, Ramush Haradinaj, claimed he had no knowledge of the operation. Human Rights Watch has condemned the deportations as a “serious disregard of human rights and the rule of law”. Nonetheless, Gashi has announced that he will appeal the charges.
Sources: Balkan Insight, Koha, Reuters, Freedom House
June 2023
Government declares two Serb groups terrorist organisations
In an unprecedented move, the government declared two Serb groups that operate in Serb-dominated northern municipalities terrorist organisations. While the North Brigade is lesser known, the Civil Protection was one of the parallel structures not recognized by the Kosovo institutions, serving as a de-facto security force in the north. These illegal structures have challenged Kosovo authorities’ efforts to establish a unified system of governance and extend the rule of law in all its territory. Prime Minister Albin Kurti claims that the groups “pose a serious and direct threat for the constitutional order and security of Kosovo,” and that their members were trained at military bases in Serbia. The Interior Minister, Xhelal Sveçla, said the groups are responsible for a series of ongoing violent attacks, including those against NATO peacekeepers, the EU Rule of Law Mission (EULEX), journalists, and the Municipal Election Commission this year. The Minister for Communities and Returns, Kosovo Serb Nenad Rašić, said that the move could negatively affect relations with the Serbian minority in the north.
Sources: Balkan Insight, Official Gazette of the Republic of Kosovo, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Kossev
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