Egypt
Egypt performs at the low level across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy framework. It ranks among the bottom 25 per cent of countries globally in most factors of democratic performance. Over the past five years, Egypt has maintained relative stability, with no notable declines. Egypt’s economy, reliant on tourism, construction, manufacturing, agriculture, and foreign aid, has been hit hard by the war in neighboring Gaza and Red Sea trade disruptions, which have reduced Suez Canal revenues.
Once home to one of the world’s oldest civilizations, Egypt formed part of the Ottoman empire for over 350 years before being colonized by Britain in 1882. Despite granting Egypt formal independence in 1922, Britain retained significant control over the country until the 1952 revolution, when the Free Officers overthrew the British-aligned monarchy. Since then, the military has played a central role in the country’s governance. The 2011 Tahrir Square protests brought an end to President Hosni Mubarak’s rule after nearly three decades in power, resulting in Egypt's first democratic presidential election, which was won by Mohammed Morsi. However, Morsi’s presidency lasted only one year before he was removed in a 2013 military coup d’état led by President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi.
Since 2013, Al-Sisi has established a highly authoritarian military state. There is no real opposition, as political parties are weakened and co-opted by state security, or created as extensions of regime-aligned militias. Egyptian politics have also been marked by a top-down war on independent civic organizations, whether nonprofits, media, or labor, particularly following the 2013 ouster of the now banned Muslim Brotherhood, once Egypt’s largest opposition group. Activists and journalists are frequently detained or forced into exile. As political space has shrunk, the powers of the military and the position of Al-Sisi have been entrenched, with 2019 constitutional amendments allowing the president to seek reelection until 2034.
Egypt’s population is 90 per cent Sunni Muslim and 10 per cent Christian (mainly Coptic). Conflict over the role of religion in the country dates back at least to the late 19th century Arab Enlightenment, when debates about modernizing Islam were intertwined with emerging Egyptian nationalism. While political life today is largely secularized through state control, the government under President Al-Sisi promotes what it calls “moderate” Islam as part of a broader nationalist narrative. At the same time, Islamist movements are harshly repressed, and major Sunni religious institutions have been co-opted by the state in order to shape religious narratives.
Egypt ranks in the bottom 25 per cent globally in Gender Equality, with disparities in the labour market and in wages and prevalence of gender-based violence. Recent progress however includes a 25 percent gender quota in parliament. LGBTQIA+ advocacy is crushed and subjected to harassment by regime-affiliated media. Ongoing economic hardship, including high poverty rates, fuel inequality and popular discontent. Egypt also hosts many refugees and asylum seekers, but has faced criticism over alleged rights abuses.
Looking ahead, it will be relevant to watch Rights, as recent proposals to reform the Criminal Procedure Code have raised concerns over their potential erosion of civil liberties. Amid a difficult economic environment, the Social Group Equality and Economic Equality subfactors will also track how well the regime holds to its end of the bargain and could show either a reduction in the pressure on the regime or an early warning that popular frustration will boil over.
Last Updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
September 2025
President Al-Sisi rejects Criminal Procedure Code following civil society appeals
On 21 September, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi returned a proposed Criminal Procedure Code to the House of Representatives for further review, rather than signing it into law after its parliamentary approval, a rarity in Egypt. The draft law had drawn criticism from human rights organizations for limiting defendants’ rights and expanding prosecutorial powers. The presidency said the decision responded to the ‘numerous appeals’ calling for amendments. Civil society and rights groups, which had actively campaigned against the bill, welcomed the move as an opportunity to strengthen legal safeguards. Parliament is expected to consider the presidential objections in upcoming sessions.
Sources: Presidency of the Arab Republic of Egypt, Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy
Prominent political prisoner released in presidential pardon
On 22 September, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi issued a presidential pardon for six prisoners, including prominent activist and writer Alaa Abd Fattah. A leading figure in the 2011 uprising, Alaa Abd Fattah had spent nearly 12 years in prison, with his most recent sentence stemming from a 2021 conviction for ‘spreading false news’ following a social media post in which he denounced the violent death of a detainee in custody. His release followed sustained advocacy by civil society organizations and family members, who had long campaigned for his freedom, as well as international pressure. While rights groups welcomed the pardon as a positive step, they emphasized that thousands remain detained in the country on politically motivated charges.
Sources: Ahram Online, The New Arab, Reporters without borders, Middle East Eye
August 2025
National Unified List wins most seats in Senate elections
On 4 and 5 August, Egypt held Senate elections to fill 200 of the chamber’s 300 seats, with the remaining 100 appointed by the President. This marked the second Senate election since the chamber’s reinstatement in 2019. Egyptians living abroad voted earlier, on 1 and 2 August. Runoffs were held between 25 and 28 August in five regions. The National Unified List, a coalition of 12 pro-government parties led by the ruling Nation’s Future Party, ran unopposed and won all 100 list-based seats. The remaining 100 seats were elected in single member constituencies, with government-aligned parties, led by the Nation’s Future Party, also dominating. A quota reserves 30 seats (10 per cent of the chamber) for women. Voter turnout was low, standing at 17.1 per cent, although marking an increase from the previous 2020 senate election, in which turnout stood at 14.2 per cent.
Sources: Ahram Online, State Information System, British Broadcasting Corporation Arabic, IPU Parline
June 2025
Authorities crack down on transnational Gaza solidarity campaign
In June, authorities carried out mass detentions and deportations, forcibly dispersing the ‘Global March to Gaza,’ a transnational solidarity campaign involving over 4,000 participants from more than 80 countries. The group aimed to travel from Arish in North Sinai to the Rafah border crossing, the only gateway between Egypt and Gaza, to protest Israel's blockade of humanitarian aid into Gaza. More than 200 participants were detained or interrogated upon arrival at Cairo International Airport or at their hotels, with many subsequently deported. Others were intercepted near Ismailia, where buses and convoys were stopped and dispersed. Egyptian nationals participating in or expressing solidarity with the marchers were also arrested. Rights groups reported abuses by the authorities, including beatings, electric shocks and denial of consular access.
Sources: Mada Masr (1), Mada Masr (2), Haaretz, Committee for Justice, Amnesty International, Middle East Eye
December 2024
Al-Sisi ratifies first asylum law amid concerns over protection
On 16 December, President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi ratified Egypt's first asylum law, which transfers responsibility for asylum processing from the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) to a newly established government body, the Permanent Committee for Refugee Affairs. According to the government, the law is designed to bring Egypt's asylum procedures in line with international standards. However, rights groups have raised concerns, claiming that the law threatens the rights of asylum seekers and refugees. They point to vague exclusion criteria, the criminalization of irregular entry, and restrictions on refugees' political activities as particularly problematic. Additionally, vaguely defined emergency powers have sparked fears that they could be misused to arbitrarily deny asylum claims. Approximately 800,000 refugees and asylum-seekers registered with the UN Refugee Agency in Egypt.
Sources: Egyptian Official Gazette, Al-Shorouk, The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy, Egyptian Initiative for Personal Rights, Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch
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