Central African Republic
The Central African Republic (CAR) exhibits low-range performance across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy framework, registering scores in the bottom 25 per cent of countries in each category. Over the last five years, it has experienced declines in multiple factors across the framework. Despite significant mineral wealth, the country suffers from widespread poverty and the economy is heavily dependent on aid. Agriculture is the largest sector. CAR’s economic development has been impeded by political instability, limited transportation infrastructure and persistent armed conflict that has displaced large parts of its population.
The area that is now CAR has been settled for at least 8,000 years and was part of several powerful kingdoms and sultanates before being colonized in the late nineteenth century by France, whose exploitative rule left it ill-prepared for independence in 1960. Since then, it has experienced prolonged periods of authoritarian rule, during which successive presidents have relied on patronage to govern and failed to construct a viable state, particularly outside of the capital, beyond which there remains little state presence. This state weakness has been compounded by long-term political instability, including multiple coups. The coups fuelled the proliferation of armed rebel groups, with which CAR’s army has been engaged in a decades-long armed conflict, despite successive peace agreements. In recent years, Rwandan troops and Russian mercenaries have aided in counterinsurgency efforts, reflecting their growing influence in the country.
While the election of President Touadéra in 2016 raised hopes of reconstruction and democratisation, CAR’s democratic institutions remain weak. Elections have been hampered by insecurity, procedural irregularities, and disputed results, and dissident voices - including civil society activists, journalists and opposition politicians - face harassment and arrest. The judiciary has been constrained by limited resources, security threats and executive interference. Noteworthy, too, were the institutional changes brought about by the 2023 constitutional reforms, which removed the presidential term limit and expanded executive power over the judiciary.
Religious and ethnic identities have long been important in CAR, where the political elite have generally come from ethnic groups in the Christian south. Despite efforts to build social cohesion, trust between Christians and minority Muslims is low and Muslims, who make up nine per cent of CAR’s population, continue to be subject to societal discrimination and abuse, including arbitrary arrest and religious profiling. Politicization of these identities by political leaders and rebel groups has imbued them with an enduring political salience in the ongoing conflict, which has been marked by incidents of extreme sectarian violence.
Women, too, are marginalised. Despite constitutional guarantees of equality, they are politically underrepresented, enjoy few opportunities for civic engagement (including in peace processes) and experience comparatively higher unemployment. They are also more vulnerable to the impacts of the severe humanitarian crisis induced by the conflict. The LGBTQIA+ community suffers societal stigmatization and arbitrary detention and, while private same-sex conduct is legal, public displays of homosexual affection are criminalised.
Looking ahead, it will be important to watch Rights and the Representation, especially in the lead up to the 2025 general election, with opposition parties, civil society and the media facing growing restrictions and repression. Also meriting attention is the implementation of the 2019 peace deal, which remains critical to the prospects of democratization in CAR and was boosted recently when two rebel groups rejoined the peace process.
Last updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
December 2025
Incumbent Touadéra wins presidential election
On 28 December, The Central African Republic held general elections for the presidency, National Assembly and local government. According to the validated results declared by the Constitutional Court on 19 January, President Faustin Archange Touadéra won the presidential election, securing 77.9 per cent of the vote. The runner up, with 13.5 per cent, was Anicet-Georges Dologuélé, who unsuccessfully challenged the result in the Constitutional Court, alleging fraud. Touadéra’s party, the United Hearts Movement (Mouvement cœurs unis, MCU) dominated the legislative elections, with the provisional results released by the National Elections Authority (l’Autorité nationale des élections, ANE) showing that its candidates had won 50 of the 74 seats (67.6 per cent) for which a result was declared (of a total of 144 Assembly seats). Eight of the 74 elected candidates (10.8 per cent) were women. Contests for 67 seats went to a second round, to be held later in 2026 along with three separate byelections. Voter turnout was 52.4 per cent for the presidential and parliamentary elections (up from 44.3 per cent in the 2016 legislative election and 35.3 per cent in the 2020 presidential election).
Sources: Jeune Afrique (1), Jeune Afrique (2), Radio France Internationale, International IDEA
Voter turnout for the presidential election increases sharply
Voter participation in the Central African Republic’s presidential election rebounded after reaching a historic low during the previous contest in 2020. According to the data released by the National Elections Authority (l’Autorité nationale des élections, ANE), 52.4 per cent of registered voters cast their ballot in the December poll, a 17.1-point increase from 2020 (35.3 per cent), when voting was marred by insecurity and voter intimidation.
Sources: Radio France Internationale, International IDEA, France 24
October 2025
Court decision renders presidential candidate stateless
On 16 October the Bangui High Court revoked the nationality certificate of Anicet-Georges Dologuélé, a declared candidate in the forthcoming presidential election, rendering him stateless. The ruling followed a referral by the public prosecutor, who argued that Dologuélé had lost his Central African citizenship when he acquired his French citizenship in 1994 and that it was not restored to him when he renounced the latter in August 2025, because a presidential decree had not been issued. Dologuélé alleged the move was an attempt to disqualify him from the election and that the law was being inconsistently applied, stating he had used the same nationality certificate to run in previous presidential elections. Notwithstanding this development, the electoral authorities announced on 30 October they had provisionally approved Dologuélé’s candidacy. A ruling on both his candidacy and citizenship will later be made by the Constitutional Council.
Update: In a decision issued on 14 November, the Constitutional Council declared Anicet Georges Dologuélé eligible to contest the presidential election, having found him to be a Central African citizen. In deciding the matter, the court ruled that he had retained his Central African citizenship after acquiring his French citizenship. It also emphasised the national and international legal prohibitions against rendering individuals stateless.
Sources: Radio France Internationale, Le Point, Jeune Afrique, Agence de Presse Africaine, Radio Ndeke Luka
April 2025
Two armed groups re-join peace process that began in 2019
On 19 April, two of the armed groups that have opposed the central government since the election of Faustin-Archange Touadéra in 2021, signed an agreement to re-join the peace process that had been initiated in 2019. The two groups are Unité pour la paix en Centrafrique (UPC, Union for Peace in the Central African Republic) and Retour, Réclamation et Réhabilitation (3R, Return, Reclamation, Rehabilitation), both of which have predominantly Fulani supporters. The negotiations to re-enter the peace process were facilitated by Fulani traditional leaders (especially Issa Bi Amadou), with negotiations taking place in Chad. Other armed groups have rejected the agreement and continue their opposition to the central government.
Update: On 10 July, as part of the 19 April peace deal, the leaders of the UPC and 3R laid down their arms and officially dissolved their respective military and political wings at a ceremony in Bangui. At the end of the month, the CAR’s government, with the support of the UN’s peacekeeping operation in the country, began the process of disarming, demobilizing and reintegrating the former UPC and 3R fighters.
Sources: Barrons, Jeune Afrique , News 24, Radio France Internationale, United Nations
February 2025
Civilian deaths surge amid escalating inter-communal violence
Civilian deaths surged in the Central African Republic (CAR) in February, amid escalating inter-communal violence in the west of the country, between Anti-balaka and Fulani pastoralists. The Anti-balaka is a coalition of militias drawn largely from Christian and animist communities which, since its formation in 2013, has been engaged in a violent struggle for power and resources in the country with predominantly Muslim communities, including ethnic Fulani. The violence in February was triggered by a deadly robbery, that took place in the Ouham-Pendé prefecture and was carried out by former members of a demobilised Anti-balaka militia, who stole a motorcycle, gold and some money. It led to reprisal and counterattacks coordinated by local militias and targeting civilians, with the vast majority of the victims reported to be Fulani. According to ACLED, a conflict data initiative, the violence resulted in at least 130 civilian fatalities, making it the deadliest month in the CAR since March 2022.
Sources: Corbeau News Centrafrique, Armed Conflict Location and Event Data
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Global ranking per category of democratic performance in 2024
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