Libya
Libya performs at a low level across all categories of the Global State of Democracy framework. Contemporary life in Libya is coloured by a 13-years long civil conflict, marked by a severe humanitarian crisis, a devastated economy and persistent political instability. Compared to five years ago, measures of Economic Equality have notably declined. The conflict has also severely impacted the oil sector, which accounts for two-thirds of the country’s GDP.
Libya gained independence as a constitutional monarchy in 1951, following a period of Italian colonization (1912-1947) and occupation by British and French forces (1943-1951). The legacy of Ottoman rule (1551 – 1911), during which various provinces had their own administrations, has left behind ongoing centralization challenges. In 1969, Colonel Muammar Gaddafi overthrew King Idris I in a coup, instituting his "Jamahiriya" system, which rejected political parties in favor of direct governance and centralized rule. His 42-year autocratic regime ended in 2011 after a popular uprising that escalated into civil war and, coupled with a NATO intervention, led to Gaddafi’s overthrow and death.
Since Gaddafi's fall, Libya has lacked a unified government with nationwide authority. After a brief transition from 2012 to 2014, multiple attempts at unification have failed. Libya is now split between two rival administrations: the UN-backed Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Government of National Stability (GNS). Despite its attempts at inclusivity of different political factions through a quota-based system, the GNU, led by Abdul Hamid Dbeibah in Tripoli, faces criticism for overextending its mandate, relying on militias and cracking down on civil society. The GNS is supported by the House of Representatives (HoR) and Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA), which has curbed dissent in the east. Foreign involvement deepens these divides. Competition over oil resources limits revenue and fuels ongoing disputes.
Tripoli, the western capital, benefits from better infrastructure but suffers frequent destabilization due to militia violence. In contrast, Eastern Libya enjoys improved security and rapid reconstruction, driven by the LNA's military dominance and access to significant funding. The southern region, largely outside GNU and GNS control, experiences severe neglect and lawlessness. This instability has led to protests targeting oil facilities, with local residents demanding improved services and a fairer distribution of resources.
Efforts to organize elections have seen some progress, but the lack of a comprehensive constitutional and electoral framework has led to popular frustration. The humanitarian crisis, marked by human rights abuses, internal displacement, and food insecurity, is compounded by Libya’s role as a major transit hub for EU-bound migrants. Migrants and asylum-seekers face dire conditions and risk abuse and violent detention by Libyan forces, supported by Frontex, while awaiting passage to Europe.
Libya also struggles with severe gender inequality. Violence against women and girls is exacerbated by widespread insecurity, impunity, and the proliferation of armed groups and weapons. Additionally, women experience political underrepresentation, restricted freedom of movement, and discriminatory family laws.
Looking forward, progress towards elections and the establishment of a unified government is crucial. Key areas to watch include a potential referendum on a draft constitution, resolutions to central bank governance disputes, and security sector reforms. While comprehensive peace talks remain elusive, any steps toward de-escalation or renewed dialogue will be crucial to watch.
Last updated: September 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
July 2024
Libyan voters register to participate in planned municipal elections
The High National Elections Commission (HNEC) in Libya announced that 176,339 voters, including 47,979 women, have registered to participate in the upcoming elections for 60 of the country’s 106 municipal councils. The elections are scheduled for 27 August and are due to be followed by elections for the remainder of the councils. Despite backing from both the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the House of Representatives (HoR), media reports suggest that many Libyans remain skeptical of the electoral process due to the country’s de facto division. Voter registration, particularly among women, remains notably low. Efforts by the HNEC and the United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) to boost registration encountered significant obstacles, with reports indicating that 10 out of 12 centers in Libya’s eastern municipalities were unable to open. While municipal elections are considered a vital initial step toward establishing broader electoral procedures in the country, there is still uncertainty as to whether these elections will be held.
Sources: HNEC, Al Araby Al Jadeed, Libya Al Ahrar, Al Watan, UNSMIL
October 2023
Unresolved Disputes Threaten Libya Election Progress
In early October, progress was made on the electoral process as the Eastern-based House of Representatives (HoR) approved modified versions of the laws governing presidential and parliamentary elections, passing them on to the High Electoral Commission for implementation. However, Mohamed Tekala, the new leader of the Tripoli-based High State Council (HSC), rejected these laws and ceased cooperation with HoR. Some HSC members argued this decision only mirrored Tekala's faction's stance, not the council's collective view. On 16 October, the UN Special Representative for Libya acknowledged some progress in the electoral process but stressed unresolved political issues. He highlighted the compulsory second presidential election round and the interconnection of presidential and parliamentary polls as potential sources of disruption. The representative also pointed out the lack of negotiations between rival factions to form a pre-election government, urging dialogue to prevent a unilateral government appointment by any party.
Sources: Al Jazeera, The National News, Relief Web, Middle East Monitor, Reuters, Libya Review
September 2023
Government failures increased the number of deaths during storm-caused flooding
Libya was hit by a storm of unprecedented severity on 11 September. Climate scientists estimate that a storm of this intensity would normally affect Libya only once in every 300-600 years, but that climate change has made such extreme weather events ten times more likely. United Nations officials estimate that nearly 4,000 people were killed in the floods that followed the storm, many in the town of Derna where two dams collapsed, releasing huge amounts of water that swept people, vehicles, and infrastructure into the sea. Residents of the city (and foreign experts) blamed the government for the high death toll, with particular focus on inadequate maintenance of the dams, poor communication with residents in vulnerable areas, and inefficiencies in the delivery of aid.
Sources: British Broadcasting Corporation (1), British Broadcasting Corporation (2), Voice of America, The Conversation
March 2023
Authorities impose severe restrictions on civil society
The Office of the Prime Minister for the Government of National Unity (GNU) and other Libyan authorities issued a series of decrees in March 2023 revoking the legal status of all local and international NGOs in the country established after 2011. The GNU is now requiring civil society organizations to establish their legal status under Law 19 of 2001, adopted during the regime of Muammar Gaddafi. That law requires all NGOs to have government approval and only permits groups that work with charity, sports, humanitarian and social issues.
The decrees follow months of intensified crackdown on civil society with incidents of intimidation, detention and withholding entry visas for aid organizations. With potential Libyan elections in 2023, concerns have been raised that the decree effectively criminalizes independent election monitoring. Several national and international rights groups have condemned the move, calling on authorities to guarantee freedom for civic groups to operate. The GNU has granted temporary legality to local and international NGOs to continue working until they comply with Law 19.
Sources: Libya Observer, North Africa Journal, Human Rights Watch, Africa News, Libya Herald
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