Palestine
Palestine exhibits low-range performance in two categories (Representation and Rule of Law) of the Global State of Democracy framework and mid-range performance in Rights and Participation. It is among the bottom 25 per cent of countries in a majority of factors of the framework. Over the last five years, Palestine has suffered notable declines in multiple factors of Rights and Rule of Law.
Palestine is comprised of two geographically separated areas of land, the West Bank and Gaza Strip; the GSoD Indices data cover only the former. It has never existed as a fully realized nation-state, as foreign powers have for centuries been the dominant sovereign authority. In 1948, though Arab states rejected it, UN General Assembly Resolution 181 created the Israeli state on 77 per cent of Palestinian land. Palestinians faced mass expulsion and ethnic cleansing (Nakba). Several subsequent Arab-Israeli wars resulted in millions of Palestinian refugees, and a majority (60 per cent) of Palestinian areas remain under full Israeli control and are particularly subject to constant military presence, arrest and detention, frequent acts of violence, restrictions on movement, and the destruction of property.
The ongoing occupation affects every aspect of Palestinian life, and both Israeli and Palestinian leaders face condemnation for severe human rights violations. A long-halted peace process with Israel, internal discord between Palestinian factions and the current war between Hamas and Israel have undermined the development of democratic institutions and have prevented Palestine’s ability to exercise self-determination. The country hosts a highly aid-dependent, captive economy with high poverty and unemployment rates.
The quest for independent statehood and resolution of historical injustices absorb much of Palestinian politics, and acts of violence continue to take place in connection to it. Yet, the state on offer to Palestine has been in rapid decline following the conflict and the expansion of Israel’s colonial settlement project. Internal strife between the two most dominant Palestinian political factions - the secular organization Fatah in the West Bank and the Islamic movement Hamas in Gaza - also divides the country. Coordination around domestic and Israeli occupation related issues, in turn, have been marred by the increasingly authoritarian character of the Palestinian National Authority – the Palestinian domestic body with authority to exercise partial control.
Before the start of the Gaza war in October 2023, political stagnation due to corruption, the indefinite postponement of presidential elections, an increasingly strong executive, and a vast security apparatus that can effectively repress its critics characterized the context. However, the main issues have now shifted to reversing the profound impacts of the war, including destroyed infrastructure, food insecurity, disease and the forceful displacement of almost the entire population of Gaza.
Despite ratifying relevant international treaties, Palestine ranks low in gender equality due to entrenched patriarchal socio-cultural norms, exacerbated by Israeli occupation and Gaza’s war. Women’s participation in the labour market and in politics are low. As the current war continues, men are unable to perform traditional roles. Education has also been severely disrupted.
Going forward, democratic progress will depend on the cessation of the current war with Israel. The conduct of this war is the subject of legal proceedings at the International Court of Justice and the International Criminal Court. In a post-conflict context, it will be important to watch developments related to the resumption of national elections, any openings related to sovereign statehood, and the design of mechanisms to govern such a state. Barring statehood, the shape of post-war reconstruction and the right of return of Palestinian refugees will determine the degree to which democratization can progress.
Last Updated: November 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
October 2024
Israel intensifies military operations in northern Gaza
In October, Israel intensified military operations in northern Gaza. Over 1,100 Palestinians were killed, making it the deadliest month in the North Gaza governorate this year. Israel ordered the evacuation of the approximately 400,000 residents and cut off essential supplies like food, water, fuel, and medicine. This compounds a context marked by the collapse of the healthcare, water and sanitations systems. 91 per cent of the population faces severe food insecurity and famine risk is rising as aid is restricted and 70 per cent of Gaza's agricultural resources have been destroyed. Over the past year, Israeli evacuation orders have impacted at least 84 per cent of Gaza's total area, forcing nearly 2 million people—the entire population—into repeated displacement.
Sources: Associated Press, OCHA, United Nations (1), United Nations (2), Relief Web, OtP Health Cluster, World Health Organization, United Nations (3), UNRWA, Forensic Architecture, World Food Programme, UNDP, International Labour Organisation, UNICEF
UNRWA service provision at risk following Israeli ban
On 28 October, the Israeli Knesset passed two bills that prohibit the operations in Israel of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA). The ban, set to take effect 90 days from its passage, is likely to severely impede the agency in carrying out its role as the principal provider of essential aid and services to Palestinians. UN Secretary-General António Guterres warned that there is currently no viable alternative to UNRWA and that, amidst the acute humanitarian crisis in Gaza, the ban will leave Palestinians there without the life-sustaining assistance they need, including healthcare, shelter and food aid. The ban will also impact the welfare of Palestinians in the West Bank who rely on UNRWA's clinics, schools, and social services.
Sources: The Jerusalem Post, United Nations (1), United Nations (2), Reuters, Amnesty International, UN Secretary General
September 2024
Israeli military shuts down Al Jazeera’s offices in Ramallah
On 22 September, Israeli forces raided Al Jazeera’s office in Ramallah, seizing equipment and issuing a renewable 45-day suspension order. Although Ramallah is under the Palestinian Authority’s control in Area A of the occupied West Bank, the raid was carried out under a military closure order reportedly authorized by the head of the Israeli Defence Forces’ Central Command. This follows a law passed in April that empowers Israeli ministers to close foreign news outlets considered a "national security threat." In May, Israel then ordered Al Jazeera to cease operations within its territory, including the closure of its East Jerusalem bureau. Al Jazeera is one of the few international media outlets reporting from Gaza amid the ongoing war and has faced significant challenges since Israel first contemplated plans to shut it down in 2017. This has included the killing, intimidation and arrest of its journalists by Israeli forces, which intensified with the onset of the 2023 war in Gaza. The network condemned the Ramallah office raid and stated it would continue its coverage of Gaza and the occupied territories.
Sources: Reuters, Al Jazeera (1), Al Jazeera (2), Haaretz, International IDEA (1), International IDEA (2)
August 2024
Large scale Israeli military operation in occupied West Bank
Israel launched what it calls a large “counterterrorism” military operation in the West Bank, targeting the densely populated northern governorates of Jenin, Tulkarem, and Tubas. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), in coordination with the Border Police and the Shin Bet –Israel’s internal security service–, deployed ground troops, helicopters, and fighter jets, resulting in at least 22 Palestinian deaths. While large-scale IDF operations in the West Bank, occupied since 1967, are common, Israeli sources described the operation as the largest since 2002, labeling it as a "counterterrorism" operation against the “infrastructure” and leaders of Palestinian resistance groups, including Hamas. Civilian infrastructure, including hospitals and refugee camps, was violently raided by the IDF. Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz’s proposed a Gaza-style "temporary evacuation" of the population, raising concerns regarding the intensification of Israeli violence and forced displacement of Palestinians in the West Bank. As of the end of August, the military operation was ongoing.
Sources: Associated Press, Al Jazeera, The Times of Israel, United Nations
July 2024
Protests in the West Bank condemn assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh
On 31 July, widespread protests erupted across the occupied West Bank following the assassination of senior Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in an airstrike in northern Tehran, an act reportedly attributed to Israel. Demonstrations were held in major cities, including Ramallah, Hebron, and Nablus, where Palestinians, waving Hamas flags, expressed their outrage over the killing. These protests occurred amid a general strike and broader calls for demonstrations organized by various Palestinian factions. In response to Haniyeh's death, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas declared a day of public mourning and urged unity among Palestinians. The protests came shortly after Hamas, Fatah, and other factions signed a "national unity" declaration in Beijing on 22 July, which aimed to establish an interim national unity government to govern post-war Gaza. Israel has neither claimed responsibility nor denied involvement in Haniyeh's assassination, who had been residing outside Gaza since 2019. Widespread rallies in support of Hamas across the Fatah-dominated West Bank are unusual, indicating a shift towards increased public expressions of popular support for the faction.
Sources: Al Jazeera (1), The New Arab, Asharq Al-Awsat, Al Jazeera (2), WAFA, PLO, The Times of Israel
Palestinian factions sign new national unity agreement
On 22 July, Hamas and Fatah, the two main Palestinian factions, signed a "national unity" declaration in Beijing, brokered by China after three days of negotiations. This agreement, supported by 14 Palestinian factions, aims to form an "interim national reconciliation government" after the end of the war in Gaza, though no timeline was provided. The UN welcomed the declaration as a step toward Palestinian unity. The Hamas-Fatah rift began after Hamas's 2006 electoral victory, leading to two parallel governments and preventing national elections. The latest effort by the parties to reconcile by forming a "unity government" in 2014 failed. While the new agreement may improve the chances of future elections, its successful implementation remains uncertain, especially given Israel's opposition to Hamas's role in Gaza governance.
Sources: Palestine News Network, Al Jazeera, Reuters, United Nations, Haaretz
See all event reports for this country
Global ranking per category of democratic performance in 2023
Basic Information
Human Rights Treaties
Performance by category over the last 6 months
Blogs
Global State of Democracy Indices
Hover over the trend lines to see the exact data points across the years
Factors of Democratic Performance Over Time
Use the slider below to see how democratic performance has changed over time