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Palestine
![Yasser Arafat Square in Ramallah, Palestine Featured image](/democracytracker/sites/default/files/2023-02/Palestine%20-%20iStock-1220059552.jpg)
Palestine exhibits low-range performance in two categories (Representation and Rule of Law) of the Global State of Democracy framework and mid-range performance in Rights and Participation. It is among the bottom 25 per cent of countries in a majority of factors of the framework. Over the last five years, Palestine has suffered notable declines in multiple factors of Rights and Rule of Law. The GSoD Indices data cover the West Bank, but not Gaza.
Palestine is comprised of two geographically separated areas of land, the West Bank and Gaza Strip. It has never existed as a fully realized nation-state, as foreign powers have for centuries been the dominant sovereign authority. In 1948, though neighboring Arab countries rejected UN General Assembly Resolution 181, which created the Israeli state on 77 per cent of Palestinian land, Palestinians faced mass expulsion and ethnic cleansing (Nakba). Several Arab-Israeli wars since then resulted in millions of Palestinian refugees throughout the region. Today, a majority (60 per cent) of Palestinian areas remain under full Israeli control and are particularly subject to constant military presence, arrest and detention, frequent acts of violence, restrictions on movement, and the destruction of property.
The ongoing occupation affects every aspect of Palestinian life, and both Israeli and Palestinian leaders face condemnation for severe human rights violations. A long-halted peace process with Israel, internal discord between Palestinian factions and the current war between Hamas and Israel have undermined the development of democratic institutions and have prevented Palestine’s ability to exercise self-determination. The country hosts a highly aid-dependent, captive economy with high poverty and unemployment rates.
The quest for independent statehood and resolution of historical injustices absorb much of Palestinian politics, and acts of violence continue to take place in connection to it. Yet, the state on offer to Palestine has been in rapid decline following the conflict and the expansion of Israel’s colonial settlement project. Beyond such physical fragmentation, internal strife, prominently between the two most dominant Palestinian political factions - the secular organization Fatah in the West Bank and the Islamic movement Hamas in Gaza - has further deeply divided the country. Coordination around domestic and Israeli occupation related issues, in turn, have been marred by the increasingly authoritarian character of the Palestinian National Authority – the Palestinian domestic body with authority to exercise partial control.
Before the start of the Gaza war in October 2023, the most prominent issues included corruption, the indefinite postponement of presidential elections, an increasingly strong executive, and a vast security apparatus that can effectively repress its critics. These factors led to political stagnation, which has characterized the country since the 1994 Oslo Peace Accords. However, the main issues have now shifted to reversing the profound impacts of destroyed infrastructure, food insecurity, and widespread disease caused by the war.
Despite ratifying relevant international treaties, Palestine ranks low in gender equality due to entrenched patriarchal socio-cultural norms, exacerbated by Israeli occupation and Gaza’s war. Women’s participation in the labor market and in politics are low, with care work dominating their primary responsibilities. As the current war with Israel continues, men are unable to perform traditional roles.
Going forward, any democratic progress will depend on the cessation of the current war with Israel, which is ongoing since October 2023. In a post-conflict context, it will be important to watch developments related to the resumption of national elections, any openings related to sovereign statehood, and the design of mechanisms to govern such a state. Barring statehood, the shape of post-war reconstruction and the right of return of Palestinian refugees will determine the degree to which democratization can progress.
Last Updated: June 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
May 2024
ICC Prosecutor issues arrest warrant requests for Israel and Hamas leaders
On 25 May, International Criminal Court (ICC) Prosecutor Karim Khan filed requests for arrest warrants against Hamas leaders Yahya Sinwar, Mohammed Deif, and Ismail Haniyeh, as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, accusing them of war crimes and crimes against humanity. The next step is for the ICC's Pre-Trial Chamber I to review the applications and determine if there are ‘reasonable grounds to believe’ that these individuals have committed a crime under the Court's jurisdiction, and whether to issue the arrest warrants. A report by international law experts, convened by the ICC Prosecutor in January 2024, confirmed on 20 May that the gathered evidence was sufficient to meet the criteria for applying for the arrest warrants. PM Netanyahu called the ICC Prosecutor’s announcement ‘absurd’. Israel previously stated that it does not recognize the Court's authority and will not cooperate with the inquiry. Meanwhile, Hamas has called on the ICC to withdraw the arrest warrant requests for its leaders.
Sources: International Criminal Court, ICC Panel of Experts in International Law (1), ICC Panel of Experts in International Law (2), Diakonia, Middle East Eye, ABC, Associated Press
March 2024
Palestinian Authority appoints new government by presidential decree
On 28 March, Palestinian President and chairman of Fatah, Mahmoud Abbas, announced the formation of the new Palestinian Authority (PA) government in a presidential decree. The PA exercises civil control over parts of the West Bank but not Gaza. These appointments followed the dissolution of the previous government in late February, after former Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh and his cabinet resigned amid growing political infighting and strained relationships with international actors. In the decree, Abbas appointed as the new Prime Minister his longtime adviser Mohammad Mustafa, who a decade ago led the reconstruction in Gaza after a previous Israel-Hamas war. This appointment, and the inclusion in the government of five ministers from Gaza, is notable at a time when the PA is aiming to extend its governance to Gaza after the ongoing war. Abbas’s reappointment of ministers from the previous governments, however suggests a degree of continuity. Resigning ministers were reappointed to other positions within PA bodies, with former PM Shtayyeh taking on a new role as Director of the National Research Centre. Only four women were appointed to the 23-members Cabinet. Elections were last held in Gaza and the West Bank in 2006.
Sources: International IDEA, Reuters, WAFA, Quds Press, PRC
March 2024
UN expert report finds ‘reasonable grounds’ genocide is being committed by Israel in Gaza
On 26 March, the UN’s Special Rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories, Francesca Albanese, presented a report to the UN Human Rights Council, which concluded that there are reasonable grounds to believe that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza. Referring to the Genocide Convention, Ms Albanese explained that ‘Israel has committed three acts of genocide with the requisite intent [to destroy Palestinians as a group]: causing seriously [sic] serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group, deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part, and imposing measures intended to prevent birth [sic] within the group.’ Israel rejected the report, calling it ‘an obscene inversion of reality.’ Separately, on 28 March, in response to a further deterioration of living conditions in Gaza (it observed that ‘famine is setting in’), the UN’s International Court of Justice ordered Israel to implement new humanitarian measures, as part of a case in which it is considering whether the country has violated the Genocide Convention.
Sources: United Nations (1), United Nations (2), International Court of Justice
February 2024
Palestinian Authority’s government dissolved
In late February, Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Shtayyeh and his cabinet tendered their resignations to President Mahmoud Abbas, indicating a shift towards the formation of a new technocratic government in the Palestinian territories amidst rising tensions in the West Bank and Gaza. This step was taken against a backdrop of political infighting, economic challenges, and strained relations with neighbouring states and international actors. The resignation could lead to potential restructuring or reforms within the Palestinian Authority and could also impact peace prospects in the region.
The new government is expected to focus on the reconstruction of Gaza following the conflict and to operate independently of political factions, including Hamas. The potential formation of this government also raises questions about future elections, given the long-standing division between Hamas in Gaza and Fatah (the political party of President Abbas) in the West Bank, and the pressing need to address immediate crises before considering new electoral processes.
Sources: Cable News Network, Al Jazeera, Deutsche Welle, National Public Radio, Time Magazine
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