Incumbent President Kais Saied won the presidential election on 6 October, securing a second term with 90.69 per cent of the vote in the first round. He faced only two male opponents: Ayachi Zammel, the imprisoned Azimoun party leader, who received 7.35 per cent of the vote, and Zouhair Maghzaoui of the People's Movement, who garnered 1.97 per cent. The Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE) barred three other candidates from running, despite a ruling from the Administrative Court that they be reinstated. The election was boycotted by several opposition parties, including the National Salvation Front coalition, driven by concerns over the absence of conditions for fair elections. While election observers noted that the election was well-organized, they raised concerns about the limited number of approved candidates, the legal framework governing ISIE, and the denial of accreditation to some local civil society observation groups. Notably, two of Tunisia's most well-established observer organizations, I Watch and Mourakiboun, were denied accreditation. Voter turnout was 28.80 per cent of registered voters, down from 48.98 per cent in the 2019 presidential election.

Sources: Independent High Authority for Elections, Al Jazeera, Human Rights Watch, RFI, Le Monde, African Union, Human Rights Watch

The presidential election on 6 October saw a dramatic decline in voter turnout, with only 28.80 per cent of registered voters casting ballots. While it still surpasses the record-low 11.40 per cent seen in the 2023 parliamentary elections, this is the lowest turnout in Tunisia’s presidential history and represents a significant drop from the 48.98 per cent turnout in the first round of the 2019 election, and an even steeper decline from the 55.02 per cent turnout that was registered in the second round in 2019. Voter turnout was particularly low among the youth, with just 6 per cent casting their votes. Observers have pointed out several factors contributing to the reduced participation, such as increased presidential control over the electoral process, the repression of opposition groups, and restrictions on media and civil society. The detention of opposition figures, including presidential candidate Ayachi Zammel, alongside the limited number of candidates approved by the Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE), intensified public discontent. Opposition groups called for a boycott, citing concerns over the absence of conditions for fair elections.

Sources: Al Jazeera, Middle East Monitor, RFI, Independent High Authority for Elections (1), Independent High Authority for Elections (2), International IDEA (1), International IDEA (2)

On 27 September, Tunisia's parliament passed a bill transferring authority over resolving electoral disputes from the Administrative Court to general appellate courts. The bill, aimed at "unifying the judicial framework," was adopted with 116 votes in favor, 12 against, and 8 abstentions. It was promulgated on 28 September, ahead of the 6 October presidential elections. The move follows growing tensions between the Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE) and the Administrative Court. ISIE refused an August court ruling to reinstate three presidential candidates, citing failure to communicate the ruling within the legally required timeframe. The Administrative Court rejected this claim, demanding reinstatement, but ISIE has yet to comply with the ruling. Prior to the bill’s passing, the Administrative Court was the primary authority on election disputes, in the absence of a constitutional court. Protests took place throughout September, demanding the reinstatement of rejected candidates and opposing the amendments to the electoral law.

Sources: Parliament of Tunisia, Associated Press, Al Jazeera, Reuters, La Presse, International IDEA

In August, the Tunisian Administrative Court reinstated to the presidential election three prominent candidates who had previously had their candidacies rejected by the Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE). Out of a total of 17 candidates that submitted applications to the ISIE for running in the election, only two, along with incumbent President Kais Saied, were initially approved based on qualification requirements. According to ISIE, the rejected candidates were disqualified over alleged failure to secure the required endorsements from citizens. Seven prospective candidates have been arrested, sentenced to eight months in prison (without enforcement) and banned for life from running for elections for allegedly falsifying endorsements and vote buying. Another candidate was jailed and also banned for alleged vote buying in the 2019 elections. Among the 14 candidates who were rejected, former ministers Abdellatif Mekki and Mondher Zenaidi and former MP Imed Daimi successfully appealed the ISIE’s decision, with the Administrative Court ruling in their favor on 27, 29, and 30 August, respectively. This reinstatement increases the total number of candidates from three to six, with no women among the qualified candidates.

Sources: Reuters (1), Reuters (2), The New Arab, The Guardian 

In July, concerns increased regarding the arrest, imprisonment, and disqualification of opposition figures in Tunisia. The National Salvation Front (NSF), a coalition of secular and Islamist parties, accused Tunisian authorities of targeting political opponents to undermine the opposition before the presidential election scheduled for 6 October. Key incidents include travel and media appearance restrictions imposed on a presidential candidate and former Ennahda leader, along with the detention of Ennahda's Secretary-General and two other party members. Additionally, significant legal actions were taken against opposition figures, resulting in two individuals being sentenced to six to eight months in prison, with one also being disqualified from running for the presidency. Some opposition parties plan to boycott the upcoming election, citing unfair conditions. 

Sources: Anadolu Ajansi, Amnesty International, L’Économiste Maghrébin, Reuters, Associated Press 

On 17 July, Tunisia's Independent High Authority for Elections (ISIE) revised its 2018 media regulations, introducing two main changes. First, ISIE now has sole control over election media regulation, a role previously shared with the audiovisual authority (HAICA). Second, ISIE must now also report any suspected media offenses directly to the Public Prosecutor. The new regulations concentrate electoral media oversight solely in the hands of ISIE, reportedly aiming to ensure a "smooth" electoral process but raising concerns about their impact on media freedoms. By requiring ISIE to report directly to the prosecutor, these rules could criminalize journalists' activities and restrict their ability to freely and independently cover the upcoming 6 October presidential election.

Sources: Agence Tunis Afrique Press, La Presse, L’Economiste Maghrebin