Mozambique
Mozambique performs at the borderline between low and mid-range in Representation, Rule of Law and Participation and at the mid-range in Rights. It is in the bottom 25 per cent of countries in the world with regard to Absence of Corruption, Participation and Civic Engagement. Over the past five years, it has suffered declines in Credible Elections, Elected Government and Freedom of Association. It has not experienced any notable advances in this time period. Mozambique has a diverse economy with key sectors including, agriculture, mining, energy and tourism, but it remains one of the poorest countries in the world.
Much of the territory that comprises modern Mozambique was once part of the civilization known as Great Zimbabwe and was integrated into an important trade network that linked Africa with the Arabian peninsula and south Asia. From the early-16th century, Portuguese traders gradually established control of the commerce and it eventually became a Portuguese settler colony. After a decade-long war against colonial rule, Mozambique gained independence in 1975. The Marxist liberation movement, the Mozambique Liberation Front (FRELIMO) established itself as the ruling party and suppressed the opposition. Between 1977 and 1992 FRELIMO fought a civil war against the Mozambican National Resistance (RENAMO), an anti-communist militant group and the largest opposition political party. The peace agreement, signed in 1992, led to the first multi-party elections in 1994. FRELIMO-RENAMO tensions were later reignited by a six year guerrilla campaign waged by RENAMO militants. The legacy of these conflicts continues to loom over the country, with its socio-political landscape still characterized by socioeconomic inequalities, political polarization, and violence.
The consequences of the conflicts also pose significant challenges to the consolidation of democracy in Mozambique. A major problem is corruption, exemplified by the Dividas Ocultas (Hidden Debt) scandal. The government has taken some steps to address corruption, but the effectiveness of these efforts has been limited by a lack of political will and weak implementation. Pertinently, elections in Mozambique have been flawed, resulting in a lack of transparency and accountability in the political system. There have been reports of fraud, harassment of opposition candidates, and media bias as contributing factors. Despite some progress, significant challenges remain in terms of ensuring free and fair elections in the country, with a politicised election commission, ongoing conflict and limited government commitment to electoral reform major obstacles.
The main politically relevant social cleavage at present is geographically defined between the politically dominant south of the country and the populous north. This longer-standing division has contributed to a violent conflict between the central government and Islamist militants in the northern state of Cabo Delgado in recent years. The insurgency has caused displacement and destabilization in the region, and the Mozambican government has responded with a military crackdown and restrictions on Civil Liberties, particularly Freedom of the Press.
Mozambique has seen some progress in gender equality in recent years, notably in women’s parliamentary representation, land ownership, and education. Yet the marginalization of women remains a problem, with gender-based violence widespread and persistent inequalities in access to education and employment.
Looking ahead, it will be important to observe the government’s anti-corruption efforts, as the country continues to be impacted by the economic fall out of the ‘Hidden Debt’ scandal and Mozambicans concerns over corruption grow. The disputed 2023 local elections highlighted continuing problems with Credible Elections, which are likely to remain salient with general elections scheduled for October 2024. As the insurgency in Cabo Delgado continues, its impact on Civil Liberties and Personal Integrity and Security should be also be watched.
Last updated: August 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
March 2024
New insurgent violence triggers mass displacement in Cabo Delgado
In early March, the UN Refugee Agency reported that over 100,000 people in Cabo Delgado Province had been displaced since February 2024, following a fresh wave of insurgent violence. The violence is part of an ongoing insurgency in Cabo Delgado, which began in 2017 and has seen militants target the state and civilians, although attacks were relatively limited in 2023. The attacks in February and early March were reported to have involved the beheading and abduction of civilians and the destruction of residential areas and community facilities, including schools, churches, and health centres. Ninety per cent of those displaced are women, people with disabilities and the elderly. According to analysts, both the attacks and the scale of the displacement highlight the weakness of security forces.
Sources: United Nations (1), United Nations (2), Associated Press News, International Crisis Group, Instituto Marquês de Valle Flôr
Mozambique ratifies Rwanda extradition treaty despite persecution concerns
In March, the Mozambican Parliament ratified an extradition treaty with Rwanda that opposition law makers, human rights defenders and Rwandan refugees fear will be used by the Rwandan government to persecute critics of Rwandan president Paul Kagame. Critics of the treaty say that it is vulnerable to abuse by Kagame’s government, which is regularly accused of targeting opponents abroad, including in Mozambique, which hosts several thousand Rwandan refugees. In 2023 NGO Human Rights Watch reported that since 2021 at least three Rwandans residing in Mozambique had died or disappeared in suspicious circumstances, that two others had survived kidnappings and several more had received death threats from embassy officials. Legislators from both Renamo and the Mozambique Democratic Movement expressed concerns that the treaty would enable further persecution, a concern that Mozambique’s bar association described as ‘legitimate.’ The Rwandan government denies engaging in transnational repression and Mozambique’s Minister for Justice said that the agreement was intended only to target criminals.
Sources: Jeune Afrique, The Africa Report (1), The Africa Report (2), Human Rights Watch, Agência de Informação de Moçambique
October 2023
Opposition parties allege fraud in local elections as Constitutional Council considers annulling some results
Elections for the 65 municipal governments across Mozambique took place on 11 October. According to the official results from the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) the ruling FRELIMO party won control of 64 of the 65 municipal governments. The main opposition party Mozambican National Resistance (Resistência Nacional Moçambicana, RENAMO) did not win the majority of the votes in any municipality, losing control of 8 municipalities they previously held. RENAMO has alleged massive fraud and filed a number of appeals with district courts and most of those cases now rest in the hands of the Constitutional Council, which is the body in charge of deciding electoral litigation in last instance as well as validating the final results. Renamo also called on its supporters to join demonstrations against the electoral results in some municipalities, especially in the capital city, Maputo, where Renamo alleges to have won. Police have responded to some demonstrations with force, using tear gas, firing automatic weapons into the air, and arresting dozens of people. At least two people are reported to have been killed. Civil society groups have suggested that there is evidence that votes were changed to benefit FRELIMO in several municipalities. On 28 November the Constitutional Council certified the electoral results in almost all municipalities, but mandated new electoral processes in four municipalities.
Sources: Nascer do SOL, Centro de Integridade Pública, Voice of America, Africa Confidential, Human Rights Watch, Institute for Security Studies, Publico
Note: This report was updated on 12 December 2023 to take note of the ruling of the Constitutional Council.
March 2023
Peaceful march in memory of deceased musician repressed
One of Mozambique’s most popular politically active musicians died at home from medical complications on 9 March. Edson da Luz, known professionally as Azagaia, frequently criticized the government in his lyrics, and had a wide following. Peaceful marches in his memory were held in several cities on 18 March. In Maputo, police prevented the marchers from continuing on a planned route that would have passed the presidential residence. They then dispersed the marchers using tear gas and rubber bullets. Police subsequently arrested seven of the marchers and were reported to have threatened others.
Sources: Amnesty International, Radio Renascença, Voice of America
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